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Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...
The platforms, where bets are placed on everything from U.K. soccer teams to the price of bitcoin, are getting traction from ...
Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...
Are prediction markets more profitable than sportsbooks? Compare pricing, probability, and strategy to find where the real betting value lies.
Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...
New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...